Red Sea / Bab el-Mandeb transits

↓ = risk

transits/day · IMF PortWatch (satellite AIS)

23.0 transits/day vs a normal ~55.0 — currently at 42% of normal.

Latest

23.0transits/day

2026-09-06 00:00 UTC

Normal

~55.0transits/day

registry baseline

7D trend

▼ 21%

worsening · 7d

Observed min / max

14.0 – 52.0transits/day

trailing 180 days

Model stress

100/ 100

Full stress (100) at ≈ 25.0 transits/day or lower — baseline minus the model span; 0 is the floor for counts.

History

trailing 180 days

About this indicator

Daily commercial transits through the Bab el-Mandeb strait (all vessel types, PortWatch n_total). Constraints here signal a widening regional shipping crisis (Houthi attacks, rerouting around the Cape).

Source: IMF PortWatch (satellite AIS).

Model weight: 12% of the composite score.