HORMUZ SIGNAL

Watch the strait, not the statements. A composite 0–100 gauge of Iran-conflict escalation risk built from shipping, energy, and conflict data.

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Composite risk score — history

0–100 · weighted composite of the nine indicators

Current

62.4/ 100

High

7D change

5.0pts

vs 57.4 on 2026-09-07

Observed min / max

37.8 – 64.8

trailing 180 days

Updated

2026-09-13 14:09 UTC

194 snapshots in window

Low 0%Guarded 1%Elevated 87%High 12%Severe 0%

History

trailing 180 days

Daily snapshots are recomputed from the latest indicator observations at each ingestion run; history before a given day reflects the data available then. See methodology for how the score is built.