Composite risk score — history
0–100 · weighted composite of 13 indicators
Every stored reading of the Iran War Escalation Risk score over the trailing 180 days. Higher means more escalation stress. Read the level band and the trend — the decimal implies more precision than the model has.
Current
53.6/ 100
High
7D change
▼ 3.7pts
vs 57.3 on 2026-10-23
Observed min / max
41.9 – 64.8
trailing 180 days
Updated
2026-10-29 00:35 UTC
4491 snapshots in window
Low 0%Guarded 0%Elevated 8%High 92%Severe 0%
History
trailing 180 daysDaily snapshots are recomputed from the latest indicator observations at each ingestion run; history before a given day reflects the data available then. On 27 Sep 2026 the normalization curve changed (Model v2) — scores before and after are not directly comparable. See methodology for how the score is built.